DVC Resale Market Forecast: What to Expect for the Rest of 2026
What does the remainder of 2026 hold for the DVC resale market? Based on current trends, Disney's strategies, and broader economic factors, here's our forecast for buyers and sellers.
Key Factors Shaping 2026
Disney's Direct Pricing Strategy
Disney continues pushing direct prices higher, with new points often exceeding $200/point. This widens the direct-to-resale price gap, making resale increasingly attractive. Expect continued strong demand for resale as buyers seek value.
Economic Environment
Interest rates and economic confidence affect discretionary purchases like vacation ownership. Current conditions suggest stable but not explosive growth in buyer activity.
New Resort Announcements
Any new DVC resort announcements could shift demand patterns, potentially softening interest in existing resorts while creating new direct-only inventory.
Price Predictions by Category
Premium Resorts
Forecast: Stable to slightly higher
Bay Lake Tower, Polynesian, Grand Floridian, and Beach Club should maintain strong prices. Limited inventory and consistent demand protect values. Don't expect bargains on these properties.
Mid-Tier Resorts
Forecast: Stable
BoardWalk, Copper Creek, and Boulder Ridge should see stable pricing. These offer value alternatives to premium resorts without expiration concerns affecting older properties.
Value Resorts
Forecast: Slight softening possible
Saratoga Springs and Old Key West may see modest price pressure as expiration dates become more relevant factors. Good values for buyers comfortable with remaining contract terms.
Restricted Resorts
Forecast: Stable with limited upside
Riviera's resale restrictions cap appeal. Prices should remain stable but won't appreciate like unrestricted resorts.
Inventory Outlook
Expect moderate inventory levels. Fewer desperate sellers than during economic uncertainty, but steady flow of normal life-circumstance sales (job changes, family changes, lost interest). Buyer competition for desirable contracts will remain.
ROFR Predictions
Disney likely continues active ROFR on premium resorts, particularly contracts priced below market. Budget buyers targeting Bay Lake Tower or Polynesian should price offers carefully to avoid ROFR.
Advice for Buyers
- Don't wait for major price drops that may not come
- Focus on finding the right contract at fair market price
- Consider mid-tier resorts for best value-to-location ratio
- Factor expiration dates into value calculations
Advice for Sellers
- Price competitively based on current comparable sales
- Include available points to make contracts more attractive
- Premium resort owners can hold firmer; value resort owners should be flexible
- Use active brokers with strong buyer traffic
Wild Cards
Factors that could disrupt predictions:
- Major economic recession (downward pressure)
- Significant Disney policy changes (direction depends on change)
- New direct resort with very high prices (supports resale values)
- Natural disaster affecting Florida tourism (temporary disruption)
Bottom Line
The 2026 DVC resale market looks stable with modest activity. No dramatic changes anticipated. For buyers ready to purchase, conditions are reasonable. For sellers with realistic expectations, contracts will move. The fundamentals of DVC—value compared to cash rates—remain solid for those who use their ownership.
